Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.

Result
Kashiwa Reysol	Draw	Vissel Kobe
34.6% ( -0.04)	28.07% ( 0)	37.34% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 47.53% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.45% (

-0.01)

58.55% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.88% (

-0)

79.12% (

0.01)

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.08% (

-0.03)

31.92% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.63% (

-0.04)

68.37% (

0.04)

Vissel Kobe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.81% (

0.02)

30.19% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.65% (

0.02)

66.35% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Kashiwa Reysol 34.59%

Vissel Kobe 37.33%

Draw 28.06%

Kashiwa Reysol	Draw	Vissel Kobe
1-0 @ 11% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 34.59%	1-1 @ 13.17% 0-0 @ 9.64% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0) Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.06%	0-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.89% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.8% 1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 37.33%