Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.