Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 55.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.56% and a win for Hapoel Petah Tikva had a probability of 22.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 1-2 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%) , while for a Hapoel Petah Tikva win it was 2-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.