Nations League Gameweek 2
Sep 27, 2026 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 3
FT Nagyerdei Stadion
  • Raz Shlomo 59' yellowcard
  • goal Troy Parrott 13'
  • goal Adam Idah 16'
  • goal Jack Moylan 25'
  • yellowcard Adam Idah 59'
  • yellowcard Conor Coventry 89'

Israel vs Republic of Ireland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Israel

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 7.45pm
Austria 3 - 1 Israel

Republic of Ireland

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 7.45pm
Kosovo 1 - 0 Rep. Ireland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Israel had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.82%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Israel win was 1-0 (7.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result

Israel 35.62% ▼ (-0.11)
Draw 24.7% ▲ (+0.13)
Republic of Ireland 39.68% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.61% ▼ (-0.50)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.54% ▼ (-0.45)
Under 1.5 21.46% ▲ (+0.45)
Over 2.5 55.53% ▼ (-0.63)
Under 2.5 44.47% ▲ (+0.63)
Over 3.5 35.48% ▼ (-0.58)
Under 3.5 64.52% ▲ (+0.57)
Over 4.5 21.38% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 4.5 78.62% ▲ (+0.44)

First Half Winner

Israel 32.12%
Draw 42.21%
Republic of Ireland 25.68%

Team To Score First

Israel 50.01% ▼ (-0.10)
No Goal 5.94% ▲ (+0.17)
Republic of Ireland 44.05% ▼ (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 62.11%
Equal 8 11.09%
Under 8 26.8%
Over 9 50.42%
Equal 9 11.69%
Under 9 37.89%
Over 10.5 39.14%
Under 10.5 60.86%

Israel Goals

Over 1.5 38.29% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 1.5 61.71% ▲ (+0.43)
Over 2.5 17.48% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 2.5 82.52% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 3.5 6.96% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 3.5 93.04% ▲ (+0.18)

Republic of Ireland Goals

Over 0.5 72.43% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 0.5 27.57% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 1.5 41.62% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 1.5 58.38% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 2.5 19% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 2.5 81% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 3.5 7.47% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 3.5 92.53% ▲ (+0.13)

Score analysis

Israel 35.61%
Draw 24.71%
Republic of Ireland 39.68%
Israel
1-0 @ 7.4% ▲ (+0.16)
2-1 @ 7.07% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.99% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.92% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 6.76% ▼ (-0.17)
Total : 35.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.63% ▲ (+0.11)
0-0 @ 5.94% ▲ (+0.17)
2-2 @ 5.65% ▼ (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 24.71%
Republic of Ireland
0-1 @ 8.12% ▲ (+0.14)
1-2 @ 7.82% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.23% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 4.46% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 7.27% ▼ (-0.12)
Total : 39.68%