Nations League Gameweek 3
Oct 1, 2026 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Nagyerdei Stadion

Israel vs Kosovo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Israel

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 7.45pm
Austria 3 - 1 Israel

Kosovo

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 7.45pm
Kosovo 1 - 0 Rep. Ireland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 42.42%. A win for Israel had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Israel win was 2-1 (6.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result

Israel 32.93%
Draw 24.64% ▼ (-0.17)
Kosovo 42.42% ▲ (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.41% ▲ (+0.46)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.76% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 1.5 20.24% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 2.5 58.1% ▲ (+0.64)
Under 2.5 41.9% ▼ (-0.64)
Over 3.5 37.56% ▲ (+0.68)
Under 3.5 62.44% ▼ (-0.68)
Over 4.5 22.84% ▲ (+0.52)
Under 4.5 77.16% ▼ (-0.53)

First Half Winner

Israel 25.48%
Draw 44.01%
Kosovo 30.5%

Team To Score First

Israel 47.08% ▲ (+0.08)
No Goal 5.77% ▼ (-0.15)
Kosovo 47.15% ▲ (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 61.45%
Equal 8 11.22%
Under 8 27.33%
Over 9 49.67%
Equal 9 11.78%
Under 9 38.55%
Over 10.5 38.36%
Under 10.5 61.64%

Israel Goals

Over 1.5 36.97% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 1.5 63.03% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 2.5 16.73% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 2.5 83.27% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 3.5 6.2% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 3.5 93.8% ▼ (-0.15)

Kosovo Goals

Over 0.5 74.9% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 0.5 25.1% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 1.5 45.44% ▲ (+0.44)
Under 1.5 54.56% ▼ (-0.44)
Over 2.5 22.35% ▲ (+0.39)
Under 2.5 77.65% ▼ (-0.38)
Over 3.5 9.55% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 3.5 90.45% ▼ (-0.22)

Score analysis

Israel 32.94%
Draw 24.64%
Kosovo 42.42%
Israel
2-1 @ 6.98% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 6.7% ▼ (-0.13)
2-0 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 5.88% ▲ (+0.14)
Total : 32.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.02% ▼ (-0.14)
2-2 @ 5.94% ▲ (+0.06)
0-0 @ 5.77% ▼ (-0.15)
3-3 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 24.64%
Kosovo
1-2 @ 8% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.77% ▼ (-0.14)
0-2 @ 6.21% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 5.08% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 3.25% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 9.23% ▲ (+0.23)
Total : 42.42%

Head to Head

Euro Champ Qualifying
Nov 12, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri
  • Milot Rashica 41' goal
  • Qendrim Zyba 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Ilir Krasniqi 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Roy Revivo 23'
  • yellowcard Miguel Vitor 84'
  • redcard Roy Revivo 90'+4'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Mar 25, 2023 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Dor Peretz 56' goal
  • goal Eli Dasa 36' (OG)