Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Thailand win with a probability of 66.6%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Lebanon had a probability of 13.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Thailand win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.52%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for a Lebanon win it was 0-1 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.