Thailand national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 21, 2025 at 1pm UK
Rajamangala National Stadium (Bangkok)
Afghanistan national football team

Thailand
2 - 0
Afghanistan

Gustavsson (6', 52')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Haidary (54')
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 1 clash between Thailand and Afghanistan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Thailand

All competitions
Last Game: Thailand 1-1 Laos
Sunday, November 17 at 12.30pm in International Friendlies

Afghanistan

Last Game: Tajikistan 3-1 Afghanistan
Tuesday, November 19 at 1pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Thailand win with a probability of 77.4%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Afghanistan had a probability of 7.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Thailand win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.59%) and 3-0 (11.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.14%), while for an Afghanistan win it was 0-1 (2.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Thailand in this match.

Result
ThailandDrawAfghanistan
77.4% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)15.07% (0.023 0.02)7.53% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Both teams to score 41.92% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.59% (-0.108 -0.11)41.41% (0.109 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.19% (-0.11 -0.11)63.81% (0.111 0.11)
Thailand Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.15% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)8.85% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.69% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)30.31% (0.080000000000002 0.08)
Afghanistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.98% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)54.01% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.72% (-0.044 -0.04)87.28% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Thailand 77.39%
    Afghanistan 7.53%
    Draw 15.07%
ThailandDrawAfghanistan
2-0 @ 14.05% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 11.59% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 11.35%
2-1 @ 8.66% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 7% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 6.89% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.24% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-0 @ 3.34% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.06% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.35% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 77.39%
1-1 @ 7.14% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.78% (0.024 0.02)
2-2 @ 2.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 15.07%
0-1 @ 2.94% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 2.2% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 7.53%