Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Afghanistan win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Pakistan had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Afghanistan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Pakistan win was 1-0 (8.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.