Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maldives win with a probability of 54.55%. A win for Pakistan had a probability of 23.46% and a draw had a probability of 21.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maldives win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest Pakistan win was 0-1 (6.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.