Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Afghanistan win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Pakistan had a probability of 27.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Afghanistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Pakistan win was 0-1 (8.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.