Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sri Lanka win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Laos had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sri Lanka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Laos win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sri Lanka would win this match.