Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a England win with a probability of 49.35%. A draw has a probability of 25.3% and a win for Senegal has a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Senegal win it is 0-1 (7.73%).