Nations League Gameweek 1
Sep 25, 2026 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Puskás Aréna
  • András Schäfer 5' yellowcard
  • Donát Bárány  82' yellowcard
  • Dominik Szoboszlai 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Milos Kerkez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Volodymyr Brazhko 21'
  • goal Danylo Sikan 42'
  • yellowcard Ilya Krupskyi 49'
  • yellowcard Oleksandr Nazarenko 71'
  • redcard Oleksandr Nazarenko 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Viktor Tsygankov 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Mykola Matvienko 90'+4'

Hungary vs Ukraine - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hungary

All competitions

Ukraine

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 53.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.19% and a win for Ukraine had a probability of 23.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%) , while for a Ukraine win it was 1-2 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result

Hungary 53.66% ▼ (-0.33)
Draw 23.19% ▼ (-0.08)
Ukraine 23.12% ▲ (+0.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.82% ▲ (+0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.77% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 20.23% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 58.18% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 2.5 41.82% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 3.5 35.84% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 3.5 64.16% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 4.5 21.85% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 4.5 78.15% ▼ (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Hungary 40.58% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 40.3% ▲ (+0.16)
Ukraine 19.12% ▼ (-0.15)

Team To Score First

Hungary 60.63% ▲ (+0.31)
No Goal 5.59% ▼ (-0.05)
Ukraine 33.78% ▼ (-0.26)

Corners

Over 8 52.86% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 8 12.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 35.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 9 40.98% ▼ (-0.05)
Equal 9 11.89% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 9 47.14% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 10.5 30.3% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 10.5 69.7% ▲ (+0.05)

Hungary Goals

Over 1.5 53.97% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 46.03% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 2.5 28.58% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 2.5 71.42% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 3.5 12.08% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 87.92% ▲ (+0.08)

Ukraine Goals

Over 0.5 60.19% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 0.5 39.81% ▼ (-0.31)
Over 1.5 28.09% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 1.5 71.91% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 2.5 9.94% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 2.5 90.06% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 3.5 3.13% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 96.87% ▼ (-0.07)

Score analysis

Hungary 53.66%
Draw 23.19%
Ukraine 23.11%
Hungary
2-1 @ 9.86% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 8.9% ▼ (-0.11)
2-0 @ 7.93% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 6.11% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 5.53% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 3.51% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 11.82% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 53.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.43% ▼ (-0.08)
0-0 @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.56% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.26% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 23.19%
Ukraine
1-2 @ 5.85% ▲ (+0.05)
0-1 @ 5.7% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 23.11%