Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ujpest win with a probability of 51.56%. A draw had a probability of 24.51% and a win for MTK had a probability of 23.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ujpest win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.65%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%) , while for a MTK win it was 1-2 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.