Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ujpest win with a probability of 48.08%. A draw had a probability of 26.45% and a win for Kisvarda had a probability of 25.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ujpest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%) , while for a Kisvarda win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.