Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kisvarda win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Paksi SE had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kisvarda win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Paksi SE win was 1-2 (8.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.