Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MTK win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Zalaegerszegi TE had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a MTK win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (5.6%). The likeliest Zalaegerszegi TE win was 1-2 (8.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.