Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paksi SE win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Zalaegerszegi TE had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paksi SE win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Zalaegerszegi TE win was 1-2 (7.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.