Conference League
Aug 6, 2026 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Bolt Arena
  • Miska Ylitolva 56' yellowcard
  • Liam Möller 59' yellowcard
  • Teemu Pukki 72' goal
  • yellowcard Alex Lowry 25'
  • yellowcard Oscar Priestman 53'
  • goal Tawanda Maswanhise 64'
  • yellowcard Jake Girdwood-Reich 82'

HJK Helsinki vs Motherwell - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

HJK Helsinki

All competitions

Motherwell

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-2 (7.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result

HJK Helsinki 43.59% (+0.06)
Draw 23.13% (-0.02)
Motherwell 33.28%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.33% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.11% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 19.89% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 58.75% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 41.25% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 36.97% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 63.03% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 22.36% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 77.64% (-0.10)

First Half Winner

HJK Helsinki 37.68% (+0.12)
Draw 37.88% (-0.22)
Motherwell 24.43% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

HJK Helsinki 52.64% (+0.08)
No Goal 4.95% (-0.01)
Motherwell 42.41% (-0.07)

Corners

Over 8 58.76% (+0.11)
Equal 8 11.17% (+0.06)
Under 8 30.07% (-0.15)
Over 9 47.31% (+0.07)
Equal 9 11.45% (+0.05)
Under 9 41.24% (-0.11)
Over 10.5 36.51% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 63.49% (-0.01)

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 1.5 46.24% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 53.76% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 21.99% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 78.01% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 8.8% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 91.2% (-0.04)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5 68.4% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 31.6% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 37.85% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 62.15% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 16.41% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 83.59% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 5.81% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.19% (-0.02)

Score analysis

HJK Helsinki 43.59%
Draw 23.13%
Motherwell 33.27%
HJK Helsinki
2-1 @ 8.75%
1-0 @ 8.26% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.42% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.81% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.42%
3-2 @ 3.39% (+0.03)
Other @ 8.54% (+0.03)
Total : 43.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.32% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 6.03% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.95% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.57% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.26% (+0.02)
Total : 23.13%
Motherwell
1-2 @ 7.4%
0-1 @ 6.67% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.62%
1-3 @ 3.77%
2-3 @ 3.05% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.21% (-0.02)
Other @ 5.55% (+0.01)
Total : 33.27%