Europa League
Aug 13, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Cláudio Braga 34' yellowcard
  • Tómas Bent Magnússon 77' goal
  • goal Dodi Lukébakio 79'

Hearts vs Benfica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Aug 6, 2026 8.00pm
Benfica 6 - 1 Hearts

Benfica

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Aug 6, 2026 8.00pm
Benfica 6 - 1 Hearts

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 29.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Hearts win was 1-0 (7.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result

Hearts 29.51%
Draw 25.02%
Benfica 45.47%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.28%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.4% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 23.6% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 52.98% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 47.02% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 30.7% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 69.3% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 17.9% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 82.1% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Hearts 22.14%
Draw 43.08%
Benfica 34.78%

Team To Score First

Hearts 40.21%
No Goal 6.6% (+0.01)
Benfica 53.19% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 56.07%
Equal 8 11.29%
Under 8 32.64%
Over 9 44.74%
Equal 9 11.33%
Under 9 43.93%
Over 10.5 34.26%
Under 10.5 65.74%

Hearts Goals

Over 1.5 32.08% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 67.92% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 11.81% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 88.19% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.82%
Under 3.5 96.18%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5 75.78% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 24.22% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 44.79% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 55.21% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 20.92% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 79.08% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.79% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 92.21% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Hearts 29.51%
Draw 25.02%
Benfica 45.47%
Hearts
1-0 @ 7.47%
2-1 @ 7.13%
2-0 @ 4.52% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.76%
3-2 @ 2% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.97%
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 29.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.57% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.6% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.02%
Benfica
0-1 @ 9.53%
1-2 @ 9.11%
0-2 @ 7.33%
1-3 @ 4.61%
0-3 @ 4.07%
2-3 @ 3.19%
Other @ 7.63% (-0.01)
Total : 45.47%

Head to Head

Europa League
Aug 6, 2026 8.00pm
6
1
HT : 3 0
FT Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
  • Rafa Silva 3' goal
  • Tomás Araújo 23' goal
  • Gianluca Prestianni 33' yellowcard
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 42' goal
  • Gianluca Prestianni 59' goal
  • Alexander Bah 79' yellowcard
  • Jhon Durán 87' goal
  • Andreas Schjelderup 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Laurent Mendy 41'
  • yellowcard Blair Spittal 70'
  • goal Tom Renaud 72'
  • yellowcard Oisin McEntee 84'
  • yellowcard Cláudio Braga 89'