Europa League
Jul 23, 2026 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Poljud
  • Adrion Pajaziti 4' yellowcard
  • Michele Sego 56' goal
  • Dario Melnjak 65' goal
  • Adam Guram 87' yellowcard
  • Alberto del Moral 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nikolas Ioannou 55'
  • yellowcard Alexandre Brito 64'

Hajduk Split vs Pafos FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hajduk Split

All competitions

Pafos FC

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 55.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.79% and a win for Pafos FC had a probability of 21.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%) , while for a Pafos FC win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result

Hajduk Split 55.17%
Draw 23.79%
Pafos FC 21.05% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.82%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.86% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 26.14% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 49.38%
Under 2.5 50.62%
Over 3.5 27.3%
Under 3.5 72.7%
Over 4.5 16.13%
Under 4.5 83.87%

First Half Winner

Hajduk Split 40.73%
Draw 40.01% (-0.02)
Pafos FC 19.25%

Team To Score First

Hajduk Split 60.48%
No Goal 7.47%
Pafos FC 32.05%

Corners

Over 8 53.46%
Equal 8 11.62%
Under 8 34.92%
Over 9 42.03%
Equal 9 11.43%
Under 9 46.54%
Over 10.5 31.69%
Under 10.5 68.31%

Hajduk Split Goals

Over 1.5 49.64% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 50.36% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 24.07% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 75.93% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 9.36%
Under 3.5 90.64%

Pafos FC Goals

Over 0.5 55.34% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 44.66% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 22.46%
Under 1.5 77.54%
Over 2.5 6.76%
Under 2.5 93.24%
Over 3.5 1.75%
Under 3.5 98.25%

Score analysis

Hajduk Split 55.16%
Draw 23.79%
Pafos FC 21.04%
Hajduk Split
1-0 @ 12.02%
2-0 @ 10.11%
2-1 @ 9.82%
3-0 @ 5.74% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.25%
3-2 @ 2.91%
Other @ 9.31%
Total : 55.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.17%
0-0 @ 7.47%
2-2 @ 4.29%
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 23.79%
Pafos FC
0-1 @ 6.64% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.3%
0-2 @ 3.2%
1-3 @ 1.63%
2-3 @ 1.35%
0-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 21.04%