CONCACAF Nations League
Nov 14, 2026 9.30pm
0
6
HT : 0 1
FT Nu Stadium
  • Josué Casimir 40' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Antonee Robinson 6'
  • goal Auston Trusty 10'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Berhalter 40'
  • goal Julian Hall 52'
  • goal Christian Pulisic 62'
  • goal Christian Pulisic 63'
  • goal Weston McKennie 68'
  • goal Folarin Balogun 82'

Haiti vs USA - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Haiti

All competitions

USA

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for Haiti had a probability of 30.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Haiti win was 2-1 (6.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%).

Result

Haiti 30.15% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 23.12%
USA 46.76% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.64%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.82% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 20.18% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 58.47%
Under 2.5 41.53%
Over 3.5 36.88%
Under 3.5 63.12%
Over 4.5 22.9% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 77.1% ▲ (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Haiti 24.74%
Draw 43.78%
USA 31.48%

Team To Score First

Haiti 40.64%
No Goal 5.35% ▲ (+0.01)
USA 54.01% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 37.01%
Equal 8 11.8%
Under 8 51.19%
Over 9 26.83%
Equal 9 10.18%
Under 9 62.99%
Over 10.5 18.71%
Under 10.5 81.29%

Haiti Goals

Over 1.5 35.22% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 64.78% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 14.84% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 85.16% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 5.46% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.54% ▼ (-0.02)

USA Goals

Over 0.5 77.28% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 22.72% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 48.47% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 51.53% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 23.87% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 76.13% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 9.66% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 90.34% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Haiti 30.16%
Draw 23.12%
USA 46.76%
Haiti
2-1 @ 6.79% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.28% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.09% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.24% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.72%
3-0 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 5.19% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 30.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.19%
2-2 @ 5.74%
0-0 @ 5.35% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 0.27% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 23.12%
USA
1-2 @ 9.08% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 8.59%
0-2 @ 7.06%
1-3 @ 5.01%
0-3 @ 3.87%
2-3 @ 3.76%
Other @ 9.39% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 46.76%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Gold Cup Gameweek 3
Jun 23, 2025 12.00am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Tyler Adams 1' yellowcard
  • Malik Tillman 10' goal
  • Patrick Agyemang 75' goal
  • goal Louicius Don Deedson 19'
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jul 12, 2021 1.30am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Children's Mercy Park
  • Samuel Vines 8' goal
  • Kellyn Acosta 72' yellowcard
  • Gyasi Zardes 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Martin Experience 47'
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jul 11, 2015 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Gillette Stadium, Foxborough
  • Clint Dempsey 47' goal
  • yellowcard Jean-Michel Alexandre 23'
  • yellowcard Wilde-Donald Guerrier 34'
  • yellowcard Duckens Nazon 64'