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Gremio
Brasileiro | Gameweek 23
Oct 4, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Estádio Olímpico Monumental

Gremio
1 - 2
Sport

Costa (85')
Rodrigues (73'), Villasanti (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Oliveira (53'), Mikael (70')
Everaldo (73')

Preview: Gremio vs. Sport Recife - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Sport Recife, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Gremio will look to take another step towards survival in Brasileiro on Sunday evening when they play host to fellow strugglers Sport Recife.

While Luis Felipe Scolari's side have won four of their last six fixtures, the visitors are without a victory in eight fixtures.


Match preview

Gremio coach Luis Felipe Scolari pictured on July 17, 2021© Reuters

Scolari has worked wonders since taking over as Gremio head coach, collecting six wins and two draws from 13 matches to move the club closer to safety.

Possessing two games in hand on many of the teams immediately above them, Gremio could start to move towards mid-table very quickly, putting the Copa Sudamericana qualifiers on their agenda as well.

Nevertheless, on the back of a 4-2 reverse at Athletico Paranaense, Scolari will want to take one fixture at a time ahead of facing one of their rivals.

The former Brazil national coach will hope that conceding four goals in 30 minutes was a mire blip, and everything points to that being the case with just one goal being shipped in their previous five outings.

Despite sitting down in 18th position in the standings, Imortal Tricolor still possess the seventh-best defensive record in the division.

While Gremio can claim to be on an upward trajectory, the same cannot be said of their opponents who continue to search for a long-awaited goal.

Remarkably, Sport have not found the back of the net in eight encounters, while their only two goals in 11 matches have come in the 86th minute or later.

Gustavo Florentin is only four games into the job, but the well-travelled Paraguayan will want to see their streak in front of goal end as soon as possible.

Sport have conceded five times during their last three games, all but one goal being scored during the first half.

Gremio Brasileiro form:
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L

Gremio form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L

Sport Recife Brasileiro form:
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L



Team News

Lucas Silva and Alisson could drop out of the Gremio XI after being withdrawn at half time versus Paranaense.

Douglas Costa, who provided an assist on his appearance as a substitute, and Leo Pereira may take their places in central midfield and on the right flank respectively.

Diogo could be handed an opportunity at left-back with Rafinha due to serve a one-match ban for five yellow cards.

Florentin will continue to swap and change in order to find the right solution, putting Mikael in line for a recall in attack.

Having been given a 30-minute outing as a substitute last time out, Luciano Juba may come in for his first start of the campaign.

Gremio possible starting lineup:
Chapeco; Vanderson, Ruan, Rodrigues, Diogo; Costa, Santos; Pereira, Villasanti, Ferreira; Borja

Sport Recife possible starting lineup:
Mailson; Hayner, Henrique, Sabino, Juba; Marcao, Welison; Everaldo, Hernanes, Moccelin; Mikael


SM words green background

We say: Gremio 2-1 Sport Recife

Having suffered defeat in their last fixture, it remains to be seen whether Gremio's confidence will be knocked in the long term. Nevertheless, they should have enough belief within their ranks to see off Sport, who cannot afford to lose this game.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 60.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Sport Recife had a probability of 14.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.4%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Sport Recife win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Gremio vs Sport

Gremio
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Sport Recife
16.7%
12
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