Greek Superleague | Gameweek 5

May 4, 2025 at 6pm UK

OPAP Arena

AEK Athens
1 - 2
Panathinaikos

Lamela (44')
Pineda (42'), Mantalos (49'), Rota (54'), Lamela (72'), Szymanski (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ounahi (51'), Swiderski (61' pen.)
Swiderski (54'), Palmer-Brown (67'), Pellistri (79')

Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between AEK Athens and Panathinaikos.

Form, Standings, Stats

AEK Athens

All competitions

Last Game: AEK Athens 0-2 Olympiacos
Sunday, April 27 at 6pm in Greek Superleague

Goals
for

Top scorers

Panathinaikos

All competitions

Greek Superleague

Last Game: PAOK 2-1 Panathinaikos
Sunday, April 27 at 6pm in Greek Superleague

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 60.02%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 17.93%.

The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Panathinaikos win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
AEK Athens	Draw	Panathinaikos
60.02% ( 0.5)	22.05% ( -0.12)	17.93% ( -0.38)

Both teams to score 51.14% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.31% (

-0.07)

46.68% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.05% (

-0.07)

68.95% (

0.06)

AEK Athens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.86% (

0.14)

15.14% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.28% (

0.26)

43.71% (

-0.26)

Panathinaikos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.26% (

-0.48)

39.74% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.59% (

-0.44)

76.41% (

0.44)

Score Analysis

AEK Athens 60.01%

Panathinaikos 17.93%

Draw 22.05%

AEK Athens	Draw	Panathinaikos
1-0 @ 11.35% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 10.72% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 6.23% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.94% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.41% Total : 60.01%	1-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.99% Total : 22.05%	0-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.09% Total : 17.93%