PAOK
Greek Superleague | Gameweek 4
Apr 27, 2025 at 6pm UK
Stadio Toumbas
Panathinaikos

PAOK
2 - 1
Panathinaikos

Michailidis (35'), Camara (59')
Castro (71'), Schwab (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jedvaj (3')
Pellistri (58'), Ingi Ingason (90')
Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between PAOK and Panathinaikos.

Form, Standings, Stats

PAOK

All competitions
Last Game: Panathinaikos 3-1 PAOK
Sunday, April 13 at 5pm in Greek Superleague

Panathinaikos

All competitions
Greek Superleague
Last Game: Panathinaikos 3-1 PAOK
Sunday, April 13 at 5pm in Greek Superleague

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 57.62%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 19.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Panathinaikos win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.

Result
PAOKDrawPanathinaikos
57.62% (1.161 1.16)22.46% (-0.41 -0.41)19.92% (-0.755 -0.75)
Both teams to score 53.34% (0.136 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.49% (0.76600000000001 0.77)45.51% (-0.771 -0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.16% (0.727 0.73)67.84% (-0.733 -0.73)
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.47% (0.658 0.66)15.52% (-0.664 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.56% (1.217 1.22)44.44% (-1.224 -1.22)
Panathinaikos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.14% (-0.337 -0.34)36.86% (0.331 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.35% (-0.334 -0.33)73.64% (0.328 0.33)
Score Analysis
    PAOK 57.61%
    Panathinaikos 19.92%
    Draw 22.45%
PAOKDrawPanathinaikos
1-0 @ 10.65% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-0 @ 9.93% (0.125 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 6.16% (0.214 0.21)
3-1 @ 6.15% (0.159 0.16)
3-2 @ 3.07% (0.052 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.87% (0.161 0.16)
4-1 @ 2.87% (0.137 0.14)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.056 0.06)
5-0 @ 1.07% (0.083 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.07% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 57.61%
1-1 @ 10.63% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-0 @ 5.72% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-2 @ 4.95% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.45%
0-1 @ 5.71% (-0.244 -0.24)
1-2 @ 5.31% (-0.152 -0.15)
0-2 @ 2.85% (-0.149 -0.15)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 0.95% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 19.92%

Head to Head
Apr 13, 2025 5pm
Gameweek 3
Panathinaikos
3-1
PAOK
Ounahi (33', 42'), Swiderski (50')
Pellistri (14'), Mladenovic (21')
Konstantelias (78')
Chalov (21'), Pelkas (28'), Schwab (84'), Samatta (87'), Ozdoyev (90+4')
Jan 5, 2025 6.30pm
Gameweek 17
Panathinaikos
2-1
PAOK
Ioannidis (12'), Ounahi (90')
Maksimovic (82'), Schwab (82')
Zivkovic (2')
Rahman (45+3'), Lovren (83'), Shoretire (90+5'), Schwab (90+5')
Rahman (60')
Sep 15, 2024 6.30pm
Gameweek 4
PAOK
0-0
Panathinaikos
Zivkovic (36')
Ioannidis (51'), Jedvaj (75'), Mancini (90+1')
May 15, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 9
PAOK
4-1
Panathinaikos
Taison (37'), Zivkovic (72' pen., 90+2'), Vieirinha (89')
Koulierakis (88'), Samatta (90+1')
Jeremejeff (78')
Carlos (59'), Jedvaj (70'), Mladenovic (87')
Mar 31, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 2
Panathinaikos
2-3
PAOK
Bernard (29', 90+3')
Kotsiras (53')
Palacios (88')
Despodov (2'), Brandon (37'), Schwab (89' pen.)
Despodov (9'), Kedziora (31'), Kotarski (65'), Samatta (73'), Koulierakis (90+5'), Taison (90+5')