Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 57.22%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for PAOK had a probability of 19.83%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a PAOK win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.