Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 50.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for AEK Athens had a probability of 24.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for an AEK Athens win it was 0-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Olympiacos in this match.