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Granada logo
La Liga | Gameweek 11
Oct 28, 2021 at 7pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes
Getafe logo
Granada
1 - 1
Getafe
Molina (90+7')
Montoro (45')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Unal (36')
Nyom (60'), Maksimovic (77'), Unal (78'), Soria (80')

Preview: Granada vs. Getafe - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Granada and Getafe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

With only one win between them from 19 games so far this term, Granada and Getafe prepare for battle in La Liga on Thursday night.

The hosts managed to rescue a 1-1 draw against Osasuna right at the death last time out, while Quique Sanchez Flores's side went down 3-0 to Celta Vigo.


Match preview

Granada coach Robert Moreno pictured on September 20, 2021© Reuters

An injury to Maxime Gonalons and Chimy Avila's opener for Osasuna seemed to set the stage for a dampening afternoon for Granada on Friday night, but Robert Moreno's side would seek to take advantage of their extra man for the final 15 minutes following Cote's red card.

It took until the 90th minute for Granada to do so, though, as substitute Angel Montoro fired home seven minutes after his introduction, with that result and their recent win over Sevilla demonstrating a fighting spirit within Granada that we have not become accustomed to seeing this term.

Having now taken four points from their last two top-flight fixtures, Granada have risen to 16th in the rankings but remain just one point clear of the bottom three, and three points separate this week's hosts from Elche in 15th spot.

Victory over Sevilla on October 3 marked the end of Granada's barren six-game run without a top-flight win at home, and while that memorable triumph marks the hosts' only win from their last 14 attempts in the division, Getafe can hardly boast a better record heading into this clash.

Getafe's Stefan Mitrovic celebrates scoring their first goal with Nemanja Maksimovic on September 21, 2021© Reuters

Despite managing to hold out for 55 minutes against Celta Vigo, the floodgates soon opened as Getafe found themselves 2-0 down courtesy of strikes from Santi Mina and Iago Aspas, while Djene's sending off did not help Flores's cause either.

Mina would proceed to net his second and Celta's third in the 73rd minute to condemn Getafe to an eighth defeat from 10 games this season, quickly halting the whipping boy's momentum following previous draws against Real Sociedad and Levante earlier this month.

Flores has only taken charge of two games so far during his third Getafe spell but is already aware of the sizeable task before him, with the ex-Watford and Atletico Madrid coach apologizing to the club's supporters after their capitulation against Celta Vigo on matchday 10.

A tally of two points taken from the first 30 on offer sees Getafe rooted to the bottom of the standings and five points adrift of safety, while a meagre tally of three goals scored is unsurprisingly the worst tally in the division.

Only one of those strikes has come away from home - although it was in their 2-1 defeat to Barcelona at Camp Nou - and the visitors have won just one of their last nine league battles with Granada since 2014, losing five of their last seven.

Granada La Liga form:
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D

Getafe La Liga form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • L



Team News

Granada's Domingos Duarte celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on September 20, 2021© Reuters

Granada lynchpin Gonalons came off after 38 minutes against Osasuna and has now been ruled out for at least four weeks with a hamstring injury, joining Yan Eteki, Domingos Duarte and Isma Ruiz on the sidelines.

Montoro ought to slot straight into the midfield alongside Luis Milla in Gonalons's absence following his late heroics on Friday, but with six days' rest in between the draw with Osasuna and visit of Getafe, a similar XI should take to the field.

Such a move would see Carlos Bacca and Luis Suarez resume their partnership in the final third, but Monchu is pushing for more minutes in the middle.

Meanwhile, Getafe defenders Djene and Chema will not be available for this encounter owing to their dismissals against Celta, while striker Sandro Ramirez had to be withdrawn with a muscle problem at the end of the first half.

Stefan Mitrovic ought to fill in for Djene at the back, while Enes Unal replaced Sandro for the second 45 last time out and should line up from the first whistle on Thursday.

Furthermore, Jakub Jankto, Vitolo and Jaime Mata are all expected to miss out with various ailments, while Carles Alena, Damian Suarez and Mathias Olivera are all one booking away from a suspension for the visitors.

Granada possible starting lineup:
Maximiano; Quini, Diaz, Abram, Neva; Rocinha, Milla, Montoro, Machis; L. Suarez, Bacca

Getafe possible starting lineup:
Soria; D. Suarez, Mitrovic, Cuenca, Olivera; Arambarri, Luis, Timor, Alena; Maksimovic; Unal


SM words green background

We say: Granada 1-0 Getafe

With leading goalscorer Sandro - who is one of only two players to score for Getafe in the league this season - highly unlikely to be involved, the visitors have lost one of their main sources of attacking inspiration to rub salt into the open wounds.

There is no doubting the talent in Flores's ranks, and Granada have not exactly displayed a cutting edge this season either, but we still expect the hosts to prevail by the narrowest of margins.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 36.88%. A win for Granada had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.29%) and 1-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Granada win was 1-0 (12.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Granada vs Getafe

Granada
73.4%
Draw
20.3%
Getafe
6.2%
177
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