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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 14
Nov 29, 2021 at 5pm UK
Doganlar Stadium
Goztepe SK
1 - 1
Fenerbahce
Jahovic (40')
Akbunar (74'), Nwobodo (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dursun (48')
Zajc (42'), Novak (59'), Sosa (74'), Kahveci (75'), Aziz (75')
Novak (88')

Preview: Goztepe SK vs. Fenerbahce - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Goztepe SK and Fenerbahce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Fenerbahce will be looking to quickly put their Europa League woes behind them when they travel to the Gursel Aksel Stadium to square off against Goztepe SK on Monday.

The hosts, on the other hand, will head into the game seeking to snap their run of four games without a win and move out of the relegation places.


Match preview

Fenerbahce's Ozan Tufan celebrates scoring their first goal against Besiktas in the Super Lig in March 2021© Reuters

Fenerbahce saw their Europa League campaign come to an end last Thursday when they fell to a slender 1-0 defeat at the hands of Greek side Olympiacos.

Having picked up one win and two draws from their opening four games, the Turkish heavyweights needed all three points to keep their qualification chances alive.

However, it was late drama at the Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium as Brazilian forward Tiquinho Soares struck in the 89th minute to seal the hosts' place in the knockout stages and send the visitors packing.

Fenerbahce now turn their attention to the Super Lig, where they claimed an impressive Intercontinental Derby win over rivals Galatasaray at the Nef Stadyumu in their most recent league outing.

In that encounter, Kerem Akturkoglu and Mesut Ozil netted for either side to end the first half level before Miguel Crespo came up trumps for the visitors as he netted a 93rd-minute winner.

With 23 points from 13 games, the 19-time Super Lig champions are currently fifth on the log, three points behind the Champions League qualification spot.

Fenerbahce's Mesut Ozil pictured in February 2021© Reuters

Meanwhile, Goztepe avoided a second consecutive defeat last time out when they came from behind to salvage a 1-1 draw against Kayserispor away from home.

Ilhan Parlak broke the deadlock two minutes after the half-hour mark to hand the hosts a one-goal lead heading into the interval before Belgian defender Dino Arslanagic restored parity with eight minutes remaining on the clock.

Goztepe have now failed to taste victory in any of their most recent four games, losing twice and picking up three draws since a 2-1 win away to Kasimpasa on October 17.

Nestor El Maestro's men are currently level on 10 points with Caykur Rizespor and Kasimpasa at the tail end of the table and this has been owing to their struggles on home turf, where they are currently on a four-game losing streak and have lost all but one of their six games this term.

Goztepe SK Turkish Super Lig form:
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • D

Fenerbahce Turkish Super Lig form:
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W

Fenerbahce form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L


Team News

Fenerbahce coach Vitor Pereira on November 25, 2021© Reuters

Goztepe will take to the pitch without Yalcin Kayan, who is set to serve the second of his three-game suspension after picking up a straight red in the 2-0 loss against Konyaspor on November 7.

The duo of midfielder Kerim Alici and defender Marko Mihojevic remain out of contention for the hosts after sustaining muscle and ankle injuries respectively.

Meanwhile, veteran defender Luiz Gustavo is set to sit out his fifth consecutive game after he was hooked off with an injury shortly before the hour mark in October's game against Konyaspor.

He is joined on the Fenerbahce injury table by forward Enner Valencia and goalkeeper Altay Bayindir, who are currently recuperating from ankle and shoulder injuries respectively.

In the absence of the latter, 21-year-old goalkeeper Berke Ozer is expected to start between the sticks for the fifth consecutive game in all competitions.

Congo DR defender Marcel Tisserand will also play no part in the game as he serves his suspension after receiving his marching orders in the 2-1 win over Galatasaray last weekend.

Goztepe SK possible starting lineup:
Egribayat; Arslanagic, Nukan, Cankaya; Paluli, Tijanic, Aydogdu, Emir; Akbunar, Lourency, Ndiaye

Fenerbahce possible starting lineup:
Ozer; Kadioglu, Kim, Sangare, Novak; Yandas, Sosa; Ozil, Zajc, Kahveci; Berisha


SM words green background

We say: Goztepe SK 0-2 Fenerbahce

Following their early exit from the Europa League, Fenerbahce will head into this game desperate to quickly restore some pride and edge closer to the Champions League qualification spot. We predict they will come out victorious on Monday as they take on an out-of-sorts Goztepe side who have struggled to find their footing this season.






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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Goztepe SK had a probability of 27.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Goztepe SK win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Goztepe SK vs Fenerbahce

Goztepe SK
9.4%
Draw
12.9%
Fenerbahce
77.6%
85
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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray30263168204881
2Fenerbahce30254179255479
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor301541151401149
4BesiktasBesiktas30144124036446
5KasimpasaKasimpasa30127115355-243
6Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul30126123835342
7Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor30126123647-1142
8AntalyasporAntalyaspor30101193533241
9Adana Demirspor3091294639739
10AlanyasporAlanyaspor3091293842-439
11SivassporSivasspor30911103643-738
12Samsunspor30106143541-636
13KayserisporKayserispor30109113643-736
14AnkaragucuAnkaragucu30712113639-333
15Hatayspor30712113640-433
16KonyasporKonyaspor30712113142-1133
17GaziantepGaziantep3087153444-1031
18Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk3079143438-430
19Pendikspor3078153461-2729
20Istanbulspor3037202255-3313

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