MX23RW : Friday, March 29 15:23:00| >> :120:60176:60176:
[monks data]
Germany national football team
Friendlies 1
Oct 7, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
Turkey national football team

Germany
3 - 3
Turkey

Draxler (45+1'), Neuhaus (58'), Waldschmidt (81')
Rudiger (18'), Draxler (23'), Can (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Tufan (50'), Karaca (67'), Karaman (90+4')
Under (77')

Preview: Germany vs. Turkey - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's international friendly between Germany and Turkey, including team news and predicted lineups.

Germany continue preparations for their next set of UEFA Nations League fixtures with a home friendly against Turkey on Wednesday evening.

Joachim Low's side drew back-to-back games on their return to action last month, while Turkey also failed to pick up a win in their first two games of 2020.


Match preview

It proved to be a frustrating opening round of Group A4 fixtures for Germany as they played out successive 1-1 draws with Spain and Switzerland.

Jose Gaya scored a 95th-minute equaliser for Spain to cancel out Timo Werner's opener, and they were again denied three days later when Silvan Widmer earned the Swiss a point.

Having finished bottom of Group A1 last time around, Germany are only kept off the bottom of Group A4 by Switzerland, who have one point from six so far.

Low will know that an improvement is needed in the games with Ukraine and Switzerland next week, with two victories surely the target for the heavyweight nation.

Before that, though, Low has a chance to experiment in this midweek friendly against a Turkey side with just one win to their name in five outings.

Germany's Serge Gnabry celebrates scoring their third goal with teammates on November 19, 2019© Reuters

Senol Gunes's charges followed up a 1-0 home loss against Hungary with a goalless draw in Serbia, leaving them third in Group B3 with Russia and Serbia to come over the next week.

Speaking after that stalemate in Belgrade, Gunes said there "were more positives than negatives" for his side, despite them having a one-man advantage for the best part of 45 minutes.

This will be a massive task for Turkey, though, having lost 14 of their previous 20 meetings with the Germans, three of those games finishing all square.

Die Mannschaft have won the last three encounters, meanwhile, most recently prevailing 3-0 in Euro 2012 qualifying, with Thomas Muller among the scorers that day.

Germany form (all competitions): DWWWDD

Turkey form (all competitions): WDDWLD


Team News

Germany's Leroy Sane celebrates scoring their first goal with Serge Gnabry and Joshua Kimmich on June 8, 2019© Reuters

Bayern Munich's contingent of players are back involved for Germany after missing the Spain and Switzerland games, which followed soon after the Champions League final.

However, Manuel Neuer, Joshua Kimmich, Leon Goretzka, Serge Gnabry, Lukas Klostermann, Marcel Halstenberg and Toni Kroos will play no part in this first game in the space of six days.

Low still has 22 other players to choose from and will likely use this match as an opportunity to give some fringe players an opportunity.

Leroy Sane and Thilo Kehrer will definitely play no part because of injury issues, though, and Ilkay Gundogan has not been included due to his recent positive coronavirus test.

As for Turkey, goalkeeper Gokhan Akkan has been called up for the first time, but he is unlikely to be thrown straight in for this friendly.

Germany-based players Ahmed Kutucu, Kenan Karaman and Ozan Kabak are also part of the 27-man party, as is star man Hakan Calhanoglu, who has four goals and an assist in six AC Milan games this term.

Germany possible starting lineup:
Leno; Schulz, Koch, Stark, Henrichs; Amiri, Serdar, Hofmann; Draxler, Dahoud; Werner

Turkey possible starting lineup:
Cakir; Muldur, Demiral, Soyuncu, Meras; Ayhan, Yandas; Kilinc, Calhanoglu, Kutucu; Yilmaz


SM words green background

We say: Germany 2-0 Turkey

Even accounting for the changes Germany are expected to make, Low's side will enter this game as clear favourites.

The hosts could do with a victory to rebuild confidence and we are expecting that to be the outcome in Cologne on Wednesday.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 48.68%. A win for Turkey had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Turkey win was 0-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.


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