Nations League Gameweek 2
Sep 27, 2026 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT WWK Arena
  • Yann Bisseck 17' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Georgios Vagiannidis 18'
  • yellowcard Konstantinos Karetsas 22'
  • yellowcard Panagiotis Retsos 57'
  • yellowcard Dimitrios Kourbelis 68'
  • goal Dimitrios Kourbelis 74'

Germany vs Greece - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Germany

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 7.45pm
Netherlands 1 - 1 Germany

Greece

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 7.45pm
Serbia 1 - 2 Greece

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 65.85%. A draw had a probability of 19.19% and a win for Greece had a probability of 14.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%) , while for a Greece win it was 0-1 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result

Germany 65.85% ▲ (+0.26)
Draw 19.19% ▼ (-0.09)
Greece 14.96% ▼ (-0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.85% ▼ (-0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.12% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 17.88% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 61.44% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 38.56% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 39.68% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 60.32% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 26.91% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 73.09% ▼ (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Germany 48.1% ▼ (-0.58)
Draw 35.35% ▲ (+0.40)
Greece 16.55% ▲ (+0.17)

Team To Score First

Germany 65.58% ▼ (-0.05)
No Goal 4.74% ▲ (+0.01)
Greece 29.68% ▲ (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 62.95% ▲ (+0.03)
Equal 8 10.24%
Under 8 26.81% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 9 52.11% ▲ (+0.02)
Equal 9 10.85% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 37.04% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 10.5 41.5% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 10.5 58.5% ▼ (-0.03)

Germany Goals

Over 1.5 63.69% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 36.31% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 2.5 39.68% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 2.5 60.32% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 3.5 20.19% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 79.81% ▼ (-0.10)

Greece Goals

Over 0.5 48.66% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 0.5 51.34% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 1.5 19.59% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 1.5 80.41% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 2.5 5.6% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 2.5 94.4% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 3.5 1.29% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 98.71% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Germany 65.85%
Draw 19.18%
Greece 14.97%
Germany
2-0 @ 9.59% ▲ (+0.06)
1-0 @ 8.93% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 8.8%
3-0 @ 8.05% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 7.12%
3-2 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 20.03% ▲ (+0.11)
Total : 65.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.94% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.74% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.35% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 19.18%
Greece
0-1 @ 4.21% ▼ (-0.03)
1-2 @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 14.97%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Jun 7, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion im BORUSSIA-PARK
  • Kai Havertz 56' goal
  • Pascal Gross 89' goal
  • goal Giorgos Masouras 33'
  • yellowcard Dimitris Giannoulis 80'