Club Friendlies 4
Aug 15, 2026 10.00am
Estadio Alfredo Di Stéfano

Real Madrid Castilla vs Mirandes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid Castilla

All competitions
Club Friendlies 4
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 6.00pm
Racing de Ferrol 2 - 2 Real Madrid Castilla

Mirandes

All competitions
Club Friendlies 4
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 11.00am
Osasuna II 0 - 1 Mirandes

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid Castilla win with a probability of 45.09%. A draw has a probability of 27.5% and a win for Mirandes has a probability of 27.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid Castilla win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.01%) , while for a Mirandes win it is 0-1 (7.16%).

Result

Real Madrid Castilla 45.09%
Draw 27.5% (+0.02)
Mirandes 27.42% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.2%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.44% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 25.56% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 50.61%
Under 2.5 49.39%
Over 3.5 29.51% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 70.49% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 17.07% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 82.93% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Real Madrid Castilla 31.16%
Draw 46.12%
Mirandes 22.72%

Team To Score First

Real Madrid Castilla 53.08% (+0.02)
No Goal 8.17%
Mirandes 38.75% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 59.25%
Equal 8 11.6%
Under 8 29.16%
Over 9 47.31%
Equal 9 11.94%
Under 9 40.75%
Over 10.5 36.07%
Under 10.5 63.93%

Real Madrid Castilla Goals

Over 1.5 44.5% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 55.5% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 19.78% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 80.22% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 8.04% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 91.96% (-0.03)

Mirandes Goals

Over 0.5 62.23% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 37.77% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 29.87%
Under 1.5 70.13%
Over 2.5 11.64% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 88.36% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.41%
Under 3.5 96.59%

Score analysis

Real Madrid Castilla 45.1%
Draw 27.49%
Mirandes 27.41%
Real Madrid Castilla
1-0 @ 10.23%
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.82%
3-1 @ 4.21% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.87% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.31%
Other @ 7.68% (+0.02)
Total : 45.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.01% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.17%
2-2 @ 5.6%
3-3 @ 1.35% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 27.49%
Mirandes
0-1 @ 7.16%
1-2 @ 6.32% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4%
1-3 @ 2.63%
2-3 @ 2.32% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.93% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 27.41%

Head to Head

Segunda Division
Feb 9, 2014 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Javier Flano 31' yellowcard
  • Inigo Diaz de Cerio 52' goal
  • Pablo Infante 83' goal
  • Álvaro Corral 90' yellowcard
  • Pablo Infante 94' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Quini 14'
  • goal Raúl de Tomás 48'
  • yellowcard Sergio Aguza 94'
Segunda Division
Sep 8, 2013 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jorge Pulido 54' yellowcard
  • Lucas Torro 58' yellowcard
  • Jorge 65' yellowcard
  • goal Ruiz de Galarreta 21'
  • yellowcard Javi Flano 33'
  • yellowcard Koikili 37'
  • yellowcard Francisco Prieto 73'
  • yellowcard Txomin Nagore 75'
  • yellowcard Aritz Mujika 89'