Club Friendlies 4
Aug 8, 2026 6.00pm
Estadio Municipal de A Malata

Racing Club de Ferrol vs Real Madrid Castilla - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Racing Club de Ferrol

All competitions

Real Madrid Castilla

All competitions
Club Friendlies 4

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Racing Club de Ferrol win with a probability of 36.16%. A win for Real Madrid Castilla has a probability of 35.8% and a draw has a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club de Ferrol win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Real Madrid Castilla win is 0-1 (9.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.4%).

Result

Racing Club de Ferrol 36.16% (+0.56)
Draw 28% (+0.06)
Real Madrid Castilla 35.8% (-0.66)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.75% (+0.60)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.05% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 27.95% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 48.23% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 51.77% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 26.32% (+0.34)
Under 3.5 73.68% (-0.33)
Over 4.5 14.29% (+0.27)
Under 4.5 85.71% (-0.28)

First Half Winner

Racing Club de Ferrol 28.39% (-0.31)
Draw 45.7% (+0.58)
Real Madrid Castilla 25.9% (-0.28)

Team To Score First

Racing Club de Ferrol 44.93% (-0.18)
No Goal 9.18% (+0.18)
Real Madrid Castilla 45.89%

Corners

Over 8 49.39% (+0.97)
Equal 8 12.32% (+0.07)
Under 8 38.29% (-1.04)
Over 9 37.63% (+0.83)
Equal 9 11.76% (+0.16)
Under 9 50.61% (-0.97)
Over 10.5 27.34% (+0.63)
Under 10.5 72.66% (-0.64)

Racing Club de Ferrol Goals

Over 1.5 35.18% (+0.50)
Under 1.5 64.82% (-0.50)
Over 2.5 13.94% (+0.59)
Under 2.5 86.06% (-0.60)
Over 3.5 4.1% (+0.22)
Under 3.5 95.9% (-0.22)

Real Madrid Castilla Goals

Over 0.5 68.76% (-0.49)
Under 0.5 31.24% (+0.49)
Over 1.5 35.4% (-0.28)
Under 1.5 64.6% (+0.27)
Over 2.5 13.94% (-0.37)
Under 2.5 86.06% (+0.36)
Over 3.5 4.77% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 95.23% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Racing Club de Ferrol 36.15%
Draw 28%
Real Madrid Castilla 35.79%
Racing Club de Ferrol
1-0 @ 9.44% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.13% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 5.81% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 3.56% (+0.15)
3-0 @ 2.78% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.46% (+0.13)
Other @ 3.97% (+0.23)
Total : 36.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.4% (-0.17)
0-0 @ 9.18% (+0.18)
2-2 @ 5.25% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.13% (-0.02)
Total : 28%
Real Madrid Castilla
0-1 @ 9.27% (-0.24)
1-2 @ 8.13% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 5.62% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.21% (-0.11)
0-3 @ 2.87% (-0.17)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.10)
Other @ 4.64% (-0.04)
Total : 35.79%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Aug 1, 2024 6.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Cantarrana
  • Naldo 45' goal
  • Alex Lopez 72' goal