Club Friendlies 4
Aug 8, 2026 6.00pm
2
2
HT :
2
1
FT
Estadio Municipal de A Malata
-
Jesús Bernal
14'
-
Roberto Arroyo
33'
-
Alvaro Leiva
22'
-
Manuel Serrano Salazar
77'
Racing Club de Ferrol vs Real Madrid Castilla - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club de Ferrol win with a probability of 36.16%. A win for Real Madrid Castilla had a probability of 35.8% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club de Ferrol win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Real Madrid Castilla win was 0-1 (9.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result
Racing Club de Ferrol
36.16%
▲
(+0.56)
Draw
28%
▲
(+0.06)
Real Madrid Castilla
35.8%
▼
(-0.66)
Both Teams to Score:
52.75%
▲
(+0.60)
Goals
Over 1.5
72.05%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
27.95%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 2.5
48.23%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 2.5
51.77%
▼
(-0.18)
Over 3.5
26.32%
▲
(+0.34)
Under 3.5
73.68%
▼
(-0.33)
Over 4.5
14.29%
▲
(+0.27)
Under 4.5
85.71%
▼
(-0.28)
First Half Winner
Racing Club de Ferrol
28.39%
▼
(-0.31)
Draw
45.7%
▲
(+0.58)
Real Madrid Castilla
25.9%
▼
(-0.28)
Team To Score First
Racing Club de Ferrol
44.93%
▼
(-0.18)
No Goal
9.18%
▲
(+0.18)
Real Madrid Castilla
45.89%
Corners
Over 8
49.39%
▲
(+0.97)
Equal 8
12.32%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 8
38.29%
▼
(-1.04)
Over 9
37.63%
▲
(+0.83)
Equal 9
11.76%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 9
50.61%
▼
(-0.97)
Over 10.5
27.34%
▲
(+0.63)
Under 10.5
72.66%
▼
(-0.64)
Racing Club de Ferrol Goals
Over 1.5
35.18%
▲
(+0.50)
Under 1.5
64.82%
▼
(-0.50)
Over 2.5
13.94%
▲
(+0.59)
Under 2.5
86.06%
▼
(-0.60)
Over 3.5
4.1%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 3.5
95.9%
▼
(-0.22)
Real Madrid Castilla Goals
Over 0.5
68.76%
▼
(-0.49)
Under 0.5
31.24%
▲
(+0.49)
Over 1.5
35.4%
▼
(-0.28)
Under 1.5
64.6%
▲
(+0.27)
Over 2.5
13.94%
▼
(-0.37)
Under 2.5
86.06%
▲
(+0.36)
Over 3.5
4.77%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 3.5
95.23%
▲
(+0.05)
Score analysis
Racing Club de Ferrol
36.15%
Draw
28%
Real Madrid Castilla
35.79%
Racing Club de Ferrol
1-0
@
9.44%
▲
(+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.13% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 5.81% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 3.56% ▲ (+0.15)
3-0 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.23)
Total : 36.15%
2-1 @ 8.13% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 5.81% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 3.56% ▲ (+0.15)
3-0 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.23)
Total : 36.15%
Draw
1-1
@
12.4%
▼
(-0.17)
0-0 @ 9.18% ▲ (+0.18)
2-2 @ 5.25% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 28%
0-0 @ 9.18% ▲ (+0.18)
2-2 @ 5.25% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 28%
Real Madrid Castilla
0-1
@
9.27%
▼
(-0.24)
1-2 @ 8.13% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 5.62% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.11)
0-3 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.17)
2-3 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 35.79%
1-2 @ 8.13% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 5.62% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.11)
0-3 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.17)
2-3 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 35.79%
Head to Head
Club Friendlies 3
Aug 1, 2024 6.00pm
3
0
HT :
1
0
FT
Estadio Municipal de Cantarrana
-
Naldo
45'
-
Alex Lopez
72'