Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tampa Bay Rowdies win with a probability of 54.93%. A draw had a probability of 24.65% and a win for Sporting JAX had a probability of 20.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tampa Bay Rowdies win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%) , while for a Sporting JAX win it was 1-2 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.