Club Friendlies 3
Feb 28, 2026 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Al Lang Stadium
  • Pedro Dolabella 44' yellowcard

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Sporting JAX - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Tampa Bay Rowdies

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 12.00am
Tampa Bay Rowdies 1 - 0 Sarasota Paradise

Sporting JAX

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 10.00am
Sporting JAX 2 - 1 Charleston

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Tampa Bay Rowdies win with a probability of 54.93%. A draw has a probability of 24.65% and a win for Sporting JAX has a probability of 20.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tampa Bay Rowdies win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.14%) , while for a Sporting JAX win it is 1-2 (5.36%).

Result

Tampa Bay Rowdies 54.93% (+0.01)
Draw 24.65%
Sporting JAX 20.42% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.56%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.85%
Under 1.5 22.15%
Over 2.5 56.56% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 43.44% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 35.45% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 64.55% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 22.4% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 77.6% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Tampa Bay Rowdies 33.08%
Draw 46.58%
Sporting JAX 20.34%

Team To Score First

Tampa Bay Rowdies 57.45%
No Goal 7.34% (+0.01)
Sporting JAX 35.21% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 58.09% (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.1%
Under 8 30.81% (-0.04)
Over 9 46.76% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.33% (-0.01)
Under 9 41.91% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 36.1% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 63.9% (-0.04)

Tampa Bay Rowdies Goals

Over 1.5 54.46% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 45.54% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 28.96% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 71.04% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 13.42% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 86.58% (+0.05)

Sporting JAX Goals

Over 0.5 56.38%
Under 0.5 43.62%
Over 1.5 25.72% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 74.28% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 8.82%
Under 2.5 91.18%
Over 3.5 2.49%
Under 3.5 97.51%

Score analysis

Tampa Bay Rowdies 54.93%
Draw 24.65%
Sporting JAX 20.42%
Tampa Bay Rowdies
2-1 @ 9.67% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.57% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.44% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.61%
3-0 @ 5.11% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.37% (-0.01)
Other @ 13.16% (-0.06)
Total : 54.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.14% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.34% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.46%
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.65%
Sporting JAX
1-2 @ 5.36% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 5.24% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.71% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.97%
2-3 @ 1.93%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 20.42%