Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleston Battery win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Sporting JAX had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleston Battery win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Sporting JAX win was 2-1 (7.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.