Club Friendlies 3
Feb 8, 2026 3.30pm
Kalevi Keskstaadioni kunstmuru

Tallinna Kalev vs Vaprus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Tallinna Kalev

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 25, 2026 5.00pm
Tammeka 0 - 3 Tallinna Kalev

Vaprus

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 4, 2026 10.00am
Vaprus 0 - 3 Metta / LU

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vaprus win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Tallinna Kalev has a probability of 35.39% and a draw has a probability of 23.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vaprus win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (5.9%) and 1-3 (5.14%). The likeliest Tallinna Kalev win is 2-1 (7.03%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.33%).

Result

Tallinna Kalev 35.39% (-1.05)
Draw 23.08% (-0.08)
Vaprus 41.52% (+1.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.15% (+0.34)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.67% (+0.29)
Under 1.5 15.33% (-0.28)
Over 2.5 67.55% (+0.46)
Under 2.5 32.45% (-0.46)
Over 3.5 47.09% (+0.67)
Under 3.5 52.91% (-0.67)
Over 4.5 30.15% (+0.58)
Under 4.5 69.85% (-0.59)

First Half Winner

Tallinna Kalev 29.37% (-0.20)
Draw 37.51% (+0.15)
Vaprus 33.12% (+0.05)

Team To Score First

Tallinna Kalev 44.44% (+0.22)
No Goal 4.04% (-0.02)
Vaprus 51.52% (-0.19)

Corners

Over 8 59.66% (-0.28)
Equal 8 10.17% (-0.15)
Under 8 30.17% (+0.42)
Over 9 49.13% (-0.11)
Equal 9 10.54% (-0.16)
Under 9 40.34% (+0.28)
Over 10.5 39.02% (+0.06)
Under 10.5 60.98% (-0.06)

Tallinna Kalev Goals

Over 1.5 44.19% (-0.65)
Under 1.5 55.81% (+0.65)
Over 2.5 21.98% (-0.43)
Under 2.5 78.02% (+0.43)
Over 3.5 8.69% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 91.31% (+0.19)

Vaprus Goals

Over 0.5 76.01% (+0.80)
Under 0.5 23.99% (-0.80)
Over 1.5 50.42% (+1.20)
Under 1.5 49.58% (-1.20)
Over 2.5 26.29% (+1.12)
Under 2.5 73.71% (-1.13)
Over 3.5 12.32% (+0.71)
Under 3.5 87.68% (-0.70)

Score analysis

Tallinna Kalev 35.4%
Draw 23.09%
Vaprus 41.52%
Tallinna Kalev
2-1 @ 7.03% (-0.18)
1-0 @ 5.4% (-0.21)
3-1 @ 4.33% (-0.12)
2-0 @ 4.24% (-0.17)
3-2 @ 4.08% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.46% (-0.13)
Other @ 7.86% (-0.23)
Total : 35.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.33% (-0.11)
2-2 @ 7.47% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.04% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 2.42% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.83% (+0.04)
Total : 23.09%
Vaprus
1-2 @ 8.04% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 5.9%
1-3 @ 5.14% (+0.18)
0-2 @ 4.54% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 3.47% (+0.13)
0-3 @ 2.94% (+0.09)
Other @ 11.49% (+0.67)
Total : 41.52%