Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viimsi win with a probability of 62.22%. A win for Tallinna Kalev had a probability of 20.18% and a draw had a probability of 17.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viimsi win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.64%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Tallinna Kalev win was 1-2 (4.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.