Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urartu win with a probability of 59.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Tallinna Kalev had a probability of 18.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urartu win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Tallinna Kalev win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Urartu would win this match.