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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 18, 2024 at 4pm UK
Banants

Urartu
2 - 0
Tallinna Kalev

Mirzoyan (12', 49')
Barry Ojumah (24'), Simonyan (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kaljumae (29'), Sotsugov (88')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Urartu and Tallinna Kalev.

Form, Standings, Stats

Urartu

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Last Game: Tallinna Kalev 1-2 Urartu
Thursday, July 11 at 5.30pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Tallinna Kalev

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Last Game: Tallinna Kalev 1-2 Urartu
Thursday, July 11 at 5.30pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urartu win with a probability of 59.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Tallinna Kalev had a probability of 18.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Urartu win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Tallinna Kalev win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Urartu would win this match.

Result
UrartuDrawTallinna Kalev
59.46% (0.203 0.2)21.61% (-0.073 -0.07)18.93% (-0.136 -0.14)
Both teams to score 54.45% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.79% (0.11 0.11)43.21% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.4% (0.109 0.11)65.6% (-0.11500000000001 -0.12)
Urartu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.84% (0.097000000000008 0.1)14.16% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.16% (0.195 0.2)41.84% (-0.201 -0.2)
Tallinna Kalev Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.43% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)36.57% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.64% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08)73.36% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Urartu 59.46%
    Tallinna Kalev 18.93%
    Draw 21.6%
UrartuDrawTallinna Kalev
1-0 @ 10.12% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 9.89% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.49% (0.025 0.03)
3-0 @ 6.45% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.17% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.15% (0.03 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.59% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.24% (0.014 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.23% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 59.46%
1-1 @ 10.18% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.18% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.6%
0-1 @ 5.21% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.12% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.62% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.72% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 18.93%

How you voted: Urartu vs Tallinna Kalev

Urartu
85.7%
Draw
0.0%
Tallinna Kalev
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Jul 11, 2024 5.30pm
First Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Tallinna Kalev
1-2
Urartu
Toomas Teevali (11')
Klavan (79'), Sinilaid (83')
Movsesyan (28', 77')
Gilmore (39'), Aghasaryan (90+1')