Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stabaek Football win with a probability of 45.35%. A win for Sogndal had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stabaek Football win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.38%) and 2-0 (5.63%). The likeliest Sogndal win was 1-2 (7.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.