Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stabaek Football win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Bærum had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 20.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stabaek Football win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.47%) and 1-0 (4.86%). The likeliest Bærum win was 1-2 (6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.