Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 59.12%. A win for Stabaek Football had a probability of 21.14% and a draw had a probability of 19.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.89%) and 1-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Stabaek Football win was 1-2 (5.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.