Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 65.33%. A draw had a probability of 17.57% and a win for Sandefjord had a probability of 17.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.38%) and 3-1 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.12%) , while for a Sandefjord win it was 1-2 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.