Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bjarg win with a probability of 61.45%. A win for Sogndal had a probability of 20.68% and a draw had a probability of 17.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bjarg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.33%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Sogndal win was 2-1 (4.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.