Club Friendlies 3
Aug 1, 2026 2.00pm
Rasenplatz 1 auf dem WOLFGANG FRANK CAMPUS

Mainz 05 II vs Thionville Lusitanos - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05 II

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 22, 2026 5.45pm
Mainz 05 II 2 - 1 Kreuzlingen

Thionville Lusitanos

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Aug 1, 2026 1.00pm
Saarbrucken 0 - 0 Thionville Lusitanos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mainz 05 II win with a probability of 46.97%. A win for Thionville Lusitanos has a probability of 28.33% and a draw has a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 II win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Thionville Lusitanos win is 0-1 (6.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.2%).

Result

Mainz 05 II 46.97% (+0.02)
Draw 24.7% (+0.02)
Thionville Lusitanos 28.33% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.81%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.78% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 23.22% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 53.74% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 46.26% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 32.08%
Under 3.5 67.92%
Over 4.5 18.96%
Under 4.5 81.04%

First Half Winner

Mainz 05 II 34.06% (-0.06)
Draw 42.63% (+0.07)
Thionville Lusitanos 23.3% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Mainz 05 II 55.1% (-0.04)
No Goal 6.91% (+0.01)
Thionville Lusitanos 37.99% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 36.06%
Equal 8 11.4%
Under 8 52.54%
Over 9 26.29% (-0.02)
Equal 9 9.77%
Under 9 63.94%
Over 10.5 18.53% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 81.47% (+0.02)

Mainz 05 II Goals

Over 1.5 46.32% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 53.68% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 22.13% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 77.87% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 8.51%
Under 3.5 91.49%

Thionville Lusitanos Goals

Over 0.5 63.41% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 36.59% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 31.2% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 68.8% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 12.08% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 87.92% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.09%
Under 3.5 95.91%

Score analysis

Mainz 05 II 46.97%
Draw 24.7%
Thionville Lusitanos 28.34%
Mainz 05 II
1-0 @ 9.43% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.08%
2-0 @ 7.66% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.04%
3-0 @ 4.25% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.01)
Other @ 8.35%
Total : 46.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.2% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.91% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.26%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.7%
Thionville Lusitanos
0-1 @ 6.89% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.52% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.18% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.82% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.19% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.81% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 28.34%