Club Friendlies 3
Aug 1, 2026 2.00pm
Rasenplatz 1 auf dem WOLFGANG FRANK CAMPUS

Mainz 05 II vs Thionville Lusitanos - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05 II

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 22, 2026 5.45pm
Mainz 05 II 2 - 1 Kreuzlingen

Thionville Lusitanos

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 18, 2026 5.00pm
Nancy 2 - 2 Thionville Lusitanos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mainz 05 II win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Thionville Lusitanos has a probability of 28.32% and a draw has a probability of 24.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 II win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Thionville Lusitanos win is 0-1 (6.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.18%).

Result

Mainz 05 II 46.95% (-0.02)
Draw 24.68% (-0.20)
Thionville Lusitanos 28.32% (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.81% (+0.36)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.74% (+0.40)
Under 1.5 23.26% (-0.40)
Over 2.5 53.77% (+0.65)
Under 2.5 46.23% (-0.65)
Over 3.5 32.08% (+0.51)
Under 3.5 67.92% (-0.52)
Over 4.5 18.96% (+0.38)
Under 4.5 81.04% (-0.37)

First Half Winner

Mainz 05 II 34.12% (+0.24)
Draw 42.57% (-0.19)
Thionville Lusitanos 23.31% (-0.06)

Team To Score First

Mainz 05 II 55.13% (+0.25)
No Goal 6.9% (-0.20)
Thionville Lusitanos 37.97% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 36.06% (-0.24)
Equal 8 11.4% (-0.03)
Under 8 52.54% (+0.27)
Over 9 26.3% (-0.18)
Equal 9 9.77% (-0.06)
Under 9 63.94% (+0.24)
Over 10.5 18.54% (-0.14)
Under 10.5 81.46% (+0.13)

Mainz 05 II Goals

Over 1.5 46.31% (+0.33)
Under 1.5 53.69% (-0.33)
Over 2.5 22.15% (+0.27)
Under 2.5 77.85% (-0.28)
Over 3.5 8.51% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 91.49% (-0.17)

Thionville Lusitanos Goals

Over 0.5 63.37% (+0.25)
Under 0.5 36.63% (-0.25)
Over 1.5 31.19% (+0.38)
Under 1.5 68.81% (-0.38)
Over 2.5 12.07% (+0.26)
Under 2.5 87.93% (-0.26)
Over 3.5 4.09% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 95.91% (-0.11)

Score analysis

Mainz 05 II 46.96%
Draw 24.67%
Thionville Lusitanos 28.31%
Mainz 05 II
1-0 @ 9.42% (-0.17)
2-1 @ 9.08% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.64% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 5.04% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 4.26% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.17% (+0.05)
Other @ 8.35% (+0.16)
Total : 46.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.18% (-0.10)
0-0 @ 6.9% (-0.20)
2-2 @ 5.26% (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.17% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.16% (+0.02)
Total : 24.67%
Thionville Lusitanos
0-1 @ 6.88% (-0.08)
1-2 @ 6.53% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 4.16% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 2.81% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.18% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.82% (+0.05)
Other @ 3.93% (+0.11)
Total : 28.31%