Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 II win with a probability of 55.38%. A win for Astoria Walldorf had a probability of 22.91% and a draw had a probability of 21.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 II win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.81%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Astoria Walldorf win was 1-2 (5.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.