Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 II win with a probability of 45.74%. A win for Mechtersheim had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 II win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.92%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Mechtersheim win was 1-2 (6.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.