Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 II win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Bahlinger SC had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 II win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Bahlinger SC win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.