Club Friendlies 3
Jul 11, 2026 1.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Hauptplatz Cyriaksgebreite
  • goal 18'
  • goal 52'
  • goal Jayson Videira Pereira 90'

Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Mainz 05 II - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rot-Weiss Erfurt

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 10, 2026 3.00pm
Rot-Weiss Erfurt 0 - 0 Nurnberg II

Mainz 05 II

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 8, 2026 6.00pm
Gau-Odernheim 0 - 2 Mainz 05 II

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 II win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for Rot-Weiss Erfurt had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 II win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.75%) and 0-2 (5.46%). The likeliest Rot-Weiss Erfurt win was 2-1 (7.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result

Rot-Weiss Erfurt 34.01% (-1.89)
Draw 24.71% (+0.56)
Mainz 05 II 41.33% (+1.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.8% (-1.61)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.89% (-1.68)
Under 1.5 19.11% (+1.68)
Over 2.5 61.4% (-2.07)
Under 2.5 38.6% (+2.07)
Over 3.5 39.9% (-2.97)
Under 3.5 60.1% (+2.97)
Over 4.5 25.45% (-2.27)
Under 4.5 74.55% (+2.27)

First Half Winner

Rot-Weiss Erfurt 25.8% (-1.15)
Draw 44.51% (+1.77)
Mainz 05 II 29.69% (-0.62)

Team To Score First

Rot-Weiss Erfurt 44.12% (-2.66)
No Goal 6.49% (+1.00)
Mainz 05 II 49.39% (+1.67)

Corners

Over 8 46.06% (+0.21)
Equal 8 11.12% (+0.19)
Under 8 42.82% (-0.40)
Over 9 35.68% (+0.01)
Equal 9 10.38% (+0.20)
Under 9 53.94% (-0.21)
Over 10.5 26.72% (-0.15)
Under 10.5 73.28% (+0.15)

Rot-Weiss Erfurt Goals

Over 1.5 39.67% (-2.75)
Under 1.5 60.33% (+2.75)
Over 2.5 18.76% (-2.24)
Under 2.5 81.24% (+2.24)
Over 3.5 7.64% (-1.31)
Under 3.5 92.36% (+1.32)

Mainz 05 II Goals

Over 0.5 73.84% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 26.16% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 46.07% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 53.93% (+0.25)
Over 2.5 23.05% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 76.95% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 10.1% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 89.9% (+0.18)

Score analysis

Rot-Weiss Erfurt 34.02%
Draw 24.71%
Mainz 05 II 41.33%
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
2-1 @ 7.32% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 5.93% (+0.13)
2-0 @ 4.09% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.76% (-0.40)
3-2 @ 3.21% (-0.46)
3-0 @ 2.51% (+0.09)
Other @ 7.2% (-1.25)
Total : 34.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.94% (+0.10)
0-0 @ 6.49% (+1.00)
2-2 @ 6.2% (-0.30)
3-3 @ 1.64% (-0.18)
Other @ 0.44% (-0.06)
Total : 24.71%
Mainz 05 II
1-2 @ 8.15% (+0.33)
0-1 @ 6.75% (+0.58)
0-2 @ 5.46% (+0.30)
1-3 @ 4.5%
0-3 @ 3.51% (+0.47)
2-3 @ 3.3% (-0.23)
Other @ 9.66% (-0.11)
Total : 41.33%