Club Friendlies 3
Jul 11, 2026 5.00pm
Hauptplatz Cyriaksgebreite

Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Mainz 05 II - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rot-Weiss Erfurt

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 10, 2026 3.00pm
Rot-Weiss Erfurt 0 - 0 Nurnberg II

Mainz 05 II

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 8, 2026 6.00pm
Gau-Odernheim 0 - 2 Mainz 05 II

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mainz 05 II win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Rot-Weiss Erfurt has a probability of 35.89% and a draw has a probability of 24.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 II win is 1-2 with a probability of 7.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.18%) and 0-2 (5.17%). The likeliest Rot-Weiss Erfurt win is 2-1 (7.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.84%).

Result

Rot-Weiss Erfurt 35.89% (-2.00)
Draw 24.16% (+0.15)
Mainz 05 II 40.01% (+1.91)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.4% (-0.68)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.57% (-0.75)
Under 1.5 17.43% (+0.74)
Over 2.5 63.46% (-1.39)
Under 2.5 36.54% (+1.40)
Over 3.5 42.86% (-1.35)
Under 3.5 57.14% (+1.35)
Over 4.5 27.72% (-1.04)
Under 4.5 72.28% (+1.04)

First Half Winner

Rot-Weiss Erfurt 26.95% (-2.25)
Draw 42.74% (+1.39)
Mainz 05 II 30.31% (+0.87)

Team To Score First

Rot-Weiss Erfurt 46.77% (-1.99)
No Goal 5.5% (+0.24)
Mainz 05 II 47.73% (+1.76)

Corners

Over 8 45.86% (+0.73)
Equal 8 10.93% (+0.01)
Under 8 43.21% (-0.75)
Over 9 35.67% (+0.68)
Equal 9 10.19% (+0.06)
Under 9 54.14% (-0.73)
Over 10.5 26.86% (+0.58)
Under 10.5 73.14% (-0.57)

Rot-Weiss Erfurt Goals

Over 1.5 42.42% (-2.37)
Under 1.5 57.58% (+2.37)
Over 2.5 21% (-1.97)
Under 2.5 79% (+1.97)
Over 3.5 8.95% (-1.15)
Under 3.5 91.05% (+1.15)

Mainz 05 II Goals

Over 0.5 73.78% (+1.21)
Under 0.5 26.22% (-1.21)
Over 1.5 46.31% (+0.96)
Under 1.5 53.69% (-0.96)
Over 2.5 23.14% (+0.65)
Under 2.5 76.86% (-0.65)
Over 3.5 10.27% (+0.19)
Under 3.5 89.73% (-0.19)

Score analysis

Rot-Weiss Erfurt 35.89%
Draw 24.15%
Mainz 05 II 40.01%
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
2-1 @ 7.3% (-0.21)
1-0 @ 5.8% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 4.15% (-0.32)
2-0 @ 4.1% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 3.67% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 2.42% (-0.27)
Other @ 8.45% (-1.09)
Total : 35.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.84% (+0.31)
2-2 @ 6.5% (-0.21)
0-0 @ 5.5% (+0.24)
3-3 @ 1.81% (-0.15)
Other @ 0.5% (-0.06)
Total : 24.15%
Mainz 05 II
1-2 @ 7.83% (+0.16)
0-1 @ 6.18% (+0.48)
0-2 @ 5.17% (+0.46)
1-3 @ 4.5% (+0.22)
2-3 @ 3.52% (+0.11)
0-3 @ 3.04% (+0.27)
Other @ 9.77% (+0.25)
Total : 40.01%