Club Friendlies 3
Feb 14, 2026 1.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Kuressaare linnastaadion
  • 13' goal
  • 60' goal

Kuressaare vs Tallinna Kalev - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kuressaare

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 10.00am
Kuressaare 3 - 3 Nõmme United

Tallinna Kalev

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 8, 2026 3.30pm
Tallinna Kalev 0 - 6 Vaprus

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Kuressaare win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Tallinna Kalev has a probability of 35.31% and a draw has a probability of 23.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kuressaare win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.27%) and 2-0 (4.9%). The likeliest Tallinna Kalev win is 1-2 (7.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.75%).

Result

Kuressaare 41.44% ▼ (-0.65)
Draw 23.25% ▲ (+0.06)
Tallinna Kalev 35.31% ▲ (+0.59)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.75% ▼ (-0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.77% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 16.23% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 64.07% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 2.5 35.93% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 3.5 42.93% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 3.5 57.07% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 4.5 27.34% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 4.5 72.66% ▲ (+0.13)

First Half Winner

Kuressaare 35.04% ▲ (+0.12)
Draw 36.12% ▼ (-0.06)
Tallinna Kalev 28.84% ▼ (-0.06)

Team To Score First

Kuressaare 52.16% ▼ (-0.18)
No Goal 4.29% ▲ (+0.06)
Tallinna Kalev 43.55% ▲ (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 63.77% ▼ (-0.13)
Equal 8 9.98% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 8 26.24% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 9 53.12% ▼ (-0.03)
Equal 9 10.65% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 9 36.23% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 10.5 42.63% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 10.5 57.37% ▼ (-0.10)

Kuressaare Goals

Over 1.5 47.45% ▼ (-0.56)
Under 1.5 52.55% ▲ (+0.56)
Over 2.5 24.25% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 2.5 75.75% ▲ (+0.41)
Over 3.5 10.58% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 3.5 89.42% ▲ (+0.24)

Tallinna Kalev Goals

Over 0.5 71.52% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 0.5 28.48% ▼ (-0.38)
Over 1.5 42.81% ▲ (+0.47)
Under 1.5 57.19% ▼ (-0.47)
Over 2.5 19.84% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 2.5 80.16% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 3.5 8.26% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 91.74% ▼ (-0.11)

Score analysis

Kuressaare 41.44%
Draw 23.25%
Tallinna Kalev 35.32%
Kuressaare
2-1 @ 8.45% ▼ (-0.09)
1-0 @ 6.27% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 4.83% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 2.93% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 10.1% ▼ (-0.25)
Total : 41.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.75% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 6.78% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.29% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.48% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 23.25%
Tallinna Kalev
1-2 @ 7.17% ▲ (+0.09)
0-1 @ 5.68% ▲ (+0.10)
0-2 @ 5.06% ▲ (+0.12)
1-3 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 3.07% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 7.78% ▲ (+0.11)
Total : 35.32%