Club Friendlies 3
Feb 14, 2026 12.30pm
Kuressaare linnastaadion

Kuressaare vs Tallinna Kalev - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kuressaare

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 10.00am
Kuressaare 3 - 3 Nõmme United

Tallinna Kalev

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 8, 2026 3.30pm
Tallinna Kalev 0 - 0 Vaprus

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Kuressaare win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Tallinna Kalev has a probability of 34.73% and a draw has a probability of 23.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kuressaare win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.29%) and 2-0 (4.98%). The likeliest Tallinna Kalev win is 1-2 (7.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.79%).

Result

Kuressaare 42.08% (+0.58)
Draw 23.19% (-0.09)
Tallinna Kalev 34.73% (-0.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.84% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.91% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 16.09% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 64.19% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 35.81% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 43.06% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 56.94% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 27.47% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 72.53% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Kuressaare 34.92% (-0.05)
Draw 36.17% (+0.13)
Tallinna Kalev 28.9% (-0.09)

Team To Score First

Kuressaare 52.33% (+0.48)
No Goal 4.23%
Tallinna Kalev 43.44% (-0.49)

Corners

Over 8 63.9% (+0.05)
Equal 8 10.08% (+0.10)
Under 8 26.02% (-0.16)
Over 9 53.14% (-0.05)
Equal 9 10.76% (+0.11)
Under 9 36.1% (-0.05)
Over 10.5 42.54% (-0.15)
Under 10.5 57.46% (+0.15)

Kuressaare Goals

Over 1.5 48.01% (+0.40)
Under 1.5 51.99% (-0.40)
Over 2.5 24.66% (+0.29)
Under 2.5 75.34% (-0.29)
Over 3.5 10.81% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 89.19% (-0.18)

Tallinna Kalev Goals

Over 0.5 71.14% (-0.41)
Under 0.5 28.86% (+0.40)
Over 1.5 42.35% (-0.48)
Under 1.5 57.65% (+0.48)
Over 2.5 19.52% (-0.34)
Under 2.5 80.48% (+0.33)
Over 3.5 8.15% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 91.85% (+0.13)

Score analysis

Kuressaare 42.08%
Draw 23.19%
Tallinna Kalev 34.74%
Kuressaare
2-1 @ 8.53% (+0.09)
1-0 @ 6.29% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 4.98% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 4.89% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 4.02% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.03% (+0.07)
Other @ 10.34% (+0.19)
Total : 42.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.79% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.79% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 4.23%
3-3 @ 1.91% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.47% (-0.03)
Total : 23.19%
Tallinna Kalev
1-2 @ 7.08% (-0.08)
0-1 @ 5.58% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.94% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 3.93% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 3.05% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.48% (-0.07)
Other @ 7.68% (-0.12)
Total : 34.74%