Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kauno Zalgiris win with a probability of 47.28%. A win for Zimbru had a probability of 28.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kauno Zalgiris win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Zimbru win was 0-1 (7.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.