Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Esbjerg win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Esbjerg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (5.57%). The likeliest FK Zalgiris win was 1-2 (7.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.